Rumor: iPhone 5 sales to top 80 million in first quarter

The iPhone 4S is Apple’s most successful smartphone to date, selling 37 million units during its first quarter of availability. Impressive, right? Well, if analyst Gene Munster is correct, the next iPhone will blow that number out of the water. According to him, Apple should expect to sell at least 80 million iPhone 5′s.

Such a huge number is a bit unbelievable, but it doesn’t seem that off the mark when you look at Munster’s method for determining iPhone 5 sales. First he surveyed 400 cellphone users and found that 65.5% of them plan to purchase an iPhone as their next device. What’s more, of that 65.5%, 51% will be standing in line or frantically refreshing Apple’s online store, purchasing the next iPhone as soon as it’s launched.

Then, taking those percentages into account, Munster factored in his estimated number of current iPhone owners. What that was all said and done, the results seemed to point at at least 80 million next-gen iPhone sales “in the bag.”

These findings are both surprising and expected. Such huge numbers are always going to come as somewhat of a shock, but Apple is so constantly breaking sales records that I can’t say I’m astonished at these numbers. What’s more, I’d even hazard a guess that Munster isn’t very far off with his predictions.

What do you guys think? Is 80 million iPhones simply too large a number to be realistic, or does it seem to be an accurate estimation?  Also, just for fun, how many of you are planning on purchasing the next iPhone, never having seen or used the device? Let me know in the comments section below or on twitter @TiP_Jake.

 

Via: Cult of Mac

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  • TheOneandOnlyAnonymouse

    What I find funny is that an “analyst” can take such a small survey sampling and think of it as accurate. Was it all in the sam city? was it all from the same country? How about all from the same carrier base? Were these people already apple users? Were these people first time or second time or third time, etc smartphone buyers? etc. They are so many variables. Hell, his sample size is only about 0.000005% of the ATT consumer base, not to mention the entire cell phone user base in the nation. Thats like me asking my neighbors if I should buy a chevy or toyota. Im sure I could find a group of 400 people to give me one set of opinions on one go around, and another 400 person set of opinions on another go around within just a couple mils of me.
     
    So I wouldn’t take his “analysis” with any sort of actual reality bearing. His method of “analysis” is about as shoddy as a 4 year olds. 

  • FlorBogs

    AT&T and Verizon are raising data prices. AT&T will charge extra for Facetime over 3G/4G. Samsung has sold an unbelievable number of Galaxy S3 devices, not to mention great numbers for the S2 and Note. The Note 2 will be released in the next few months and will also sell well.
     
    All this, and the analyst estimates that Apple will sell 80 million iPhones in the 1st quarter!? Complete nonsense and I feel sorry for anyone that believes that this is even remotely true. Will the iPhone 5 sell well? Absolutely, but I’m calling it now: the iPhone 5 will not sell as well as the 4S did. Samsung and other manufacturers are stealing many would-be iPhone customers with superior devices and Apple is making themselves look VERY bad by resorting to litigation against most of their competitors.
     
    I’ve no doubt that the iPhone 5 will be an excellent phone. Hell, the 4S is excellent, but the 80 million 1st quarter estimate is complete nonsense. I just switched from the iPhone. After 5 iPhones, I really felt the need to check out other phones to see what they offer and I purchased the Samsung Galaxy S3. I am in love with it and I am angry at myself for not giving Android a chance sooner.
     

  • TheOneandOnlyAnonymouse

     @FlorBogs I think you need to apply to be an “analyst” lol