International Business Times thinks it’s nailed the iPhone 5S launch times, and has arrived at the September 10th date for announcement (release on 18th) with seemingly little more than some “logic”.
“In 2012, iOS 6 was introduced June 11 and saw its release date on Sept. 19 — exactly 100 days after its unveiling. We don’t think Tim Cook wants to mess with the successful Apple formula left behind by Steve Jobs, so we believe Apple will again follow this iOS release timetable by launching iOS 7 exactly 100 days after its introduction, on Sept. 18.”
Now obviously, the latest iOS version will come with a new piece of hardware. A new iPhone is almost certain. But basing launch dates on nothing more than a “pattern” from a single year is risky to say the least. Besides, Steve Jobs had passed away almost a year already before the iPhone 5 and iOS 6 came out.
But let’s take a look at the last few years’ dates:
- 2012 – iOS 6 announced on June 11, released September 19 (100 days later), iPhone 5 on September 21.
- 2011 – iOS 5 announced on June 6, released October 12 (128 days later), iPhone 4S on October 14.
- 2010 – iOS 4 previewed on April 8, announced officially at WWDC on June 7, released June 21 (74 days from preview, 14 days from WWDC), iPhone 4 on June 24.
So, as we can see quite clearly, there is no such thing as a “100 day” pattern. Now there is every chance that the iOS 7 could land on September 18, with an iPhone 5S launch a couple of days later. But let’s not go pretending Apple has a set pattern. The only patterns we do have is the iOS versions normally arrive 2-3 days before the new hardware, which usually arrives on a Friday.
Secondly, the site claims that the budget iPhone (which it calls the iPhone 6 for some reason), will be arriving a few weeks later. Apple may release a budget iPhone. It may even arrive on store shelves within weeks of the iPhone 5S, but it will not be called the iPhone 6. Can you imagine how confusing it would be to the consumer if the lower-specced version of the iPhone were named in sequence with the flagship model?
If I was you, I’d take all this with a pinch of salt. Although it’s possible, it’s not guaranteed. Don’t go getting your hopes up until Apple sends out invites. It’s worth noting, all the “we believes” and “Apple may” in the article and no references or direct quotes of reliable sources virtually confirms it as complete guesswork. That said, I would definitely put a bet on the iPhone 5S landing on a Friday between September 1st and November 30th.